Why Fantastic Four’s Box Office Projections Are Steadier Than Superman’s

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It’s quite unexpected that the projected box office performance for the Fantastic Four has remained stable, even surpassing that of Superman to some extent. While predictions for Fantastic Four: First Steps have shown a slight upward trend since their initial tracking in June, those for Superman 2025 have been on a downward spiral until its release. Fortunately, a recent report sheds light on why Marvel’s upcoming film, set to hit theaters nationwide on July 25, has managed to keep pace with DC’s reboot so far.

What’s the latest box office tracking for The Fantastic Four: First Steps?

Predictions for the debut weekend of The Fantastic Four: First Steps continue to point towards earnings between $125 million and $155 million. For its total domestic earnings, estimates range from $277 million to $395 million.

Or more casually: The Fantastic Four: First Steps is expected to make around $125-$155 million on its opening weekend and potentially up to $395 million in the U.S. overall.

According to a report from Box Office Theory dated July 11, there are several factors contributing to the film’s durability so far. Interestingly, the fact that Superman 2025 is scheduled for release two weeks before The Fantastic Four: First Steps might actually be advantageous because it positions itself as the “anticipated upcoming blockbuster” of this summer. In other words, they predict that ticket sales for the movie will naturally pick up speed over the next fortnight due to increased anticipation.

On a promising note, it’s expected that sales for advance showings on Thursday, the 24th of July, will reach approximately $25 million. The report suggests that this figure could increase if positive reviews and hype grow. To put things in perspective, initial box office projections for Thursday, the 10th of July (including Amazon Prime Early Access sales) for Superman were around $23.9 million.

Previously, an analysis conducted in June suggested that the impending Fantastic Four movie remains popular due to multiple factors. One of these reasons is the anticipation among fans who have longed for the superhero team to join the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU). Additionally, there seems to be a desire to see a reboot of the group, following the duology from the mid-2000s. Furthermore, it’s noteworthy that Galactus, a well-known cosmic entity often associated with devouring planets, is seldom depicted in films, which adds to the intrigue surrounding this movie.

The film stands out as the crucial Marvel release of 2025 when compared to Captain America: Brave New World and Thunderbolts*. Moreover, it’s evident that The Fantastic Four will make an appearance in Avengers: Doomsday, scheduled for a late release on December 18, 2026. To fully grasp the subsequent Avengers film featuring Doctor Doom, viewers must be aware of the events unfolding in this movie, as suggested by the potential spoiler plot leak.

People who enjoy superhero movies may choose to watch both Superman and The Fantastic Four this year rather than picking one over the other. This preference arises even though viewers have become more discerning about which comic book films they attend in theaters. Moreover, there isn’t much high-profile competition for Fantastic Four 2025 in the weeks following its release. The closest contenders are The Bad Guys 2 on August 1 and Freakier Friday on August 8, but these movies are projected to earn approximately $100 million at the domestic box office each.

In early June of 2025, Fandango declared that the movie held their highest single-day ticket presales up until then (which was later surpassed by Superman). Additionally, it had been ranked as the second most eagerly awaited film of the year in Fandango’s 2025 Moviegoing Trends & Insight Survey.

It’s worth noting that an approximate budget of around $210 million is expected for The Fantastic Four: First Steps, which implies that the movie needs to earn box office revenues within the range of $450 million to $500 million just to cover its production costs.

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2025-07-14 23:36